Forecasting and anticipation
Contact hours
27 H
Number of spots
Open to visitors

Pedagogical contribution of the course to the program

Développer un management à impact grâce aux connaissances et aux outils les plus récents dans les domaines du management

Developing a strategic and managerial vision in a complex, uncertain and changing environment
Evaluate sustainable managerial practices using managerial concepts and instruments as well as digital tools
Design solutions adapted to organizational problems by applying relevant methodologies

Développer des compétences managériales de niveau avancé se traduisant par un leadership responsable

Co-build a managerial and organizational culture through collaborations and team projects
Effectively argue his ideas orally and in writing with a professional posture
Adopt a responsible leadership posture by being an actor in its own development and that of its teams


This course deals with the important strategic issue of anticipating the future(s). Based on the scenario-building method, this course provides the students with the capabilities to analyze a present ecosystem, highlight the important factors and events, discuss the influencing actors, and build the relevant scenarios based on these elements. The students work on the previously framed topics.

Teaching methods


- Lectures
- Tutorials
- E-learning

In group

- Exercises
- Oral presentations
- Projects
- Case studies/texts


- Discussions/debates


No items in this list have been checked.

Learning objectives

Cognitive domain

Upon completion of this course, students should be able to
  • - (level 1) Describe the present ecosystem of a given topic of study
  • - (level 2) Recognize key factors, actors and events of the given ecosystem
  • - (level 5) Formulate hypotheses for the future(s), based on present information
  • - (level 5) Assemble anticipative projections to create scenarios
  • - (level 6) Predict evolution of key factors of a given ecosystem
  • - (level 6) Recommend the actions for the developed scenarios.

Affective domain

Upon completion of this course, students should be able to
None affective domain have been associated with this course yet


Section 1 Introduction to Futures Section 2 Introduction to multiple foresight methods Section 3 Scanning the environment - Identifying the influential factors Section 4 Research and analysis of a system's elements Section 5 Mapping an ecosystem Section 6 Projections and formulation of hypotheses of evolution Section 7 Building and communicating scenarios Section 8 Final presentation of the written scenarios and recommended actions

No prerequisite has been provided

Knowledge in / Key concepts to master

Good command of English.

Teaching material

Mandatory tools for the course

- Computer
- Other :

Documents in all formats

- Other :

Moodle platform

- Upload of class documents
- Interface to submit coursework
- Assessments


No items in this list have been checked.

Additional electronic platforms

No items in this list have been checked.

Recommended reading

The list will be provided during the first session.

The list will be provided during the first session.

EM Research: Be sure to mobilize at least one resource

Textbooks, case studies, translated material, etc. can be entered
- Bootz, J.P. "Effectuation and Foresight – an exploratory study of the implicit links between the two concepts", (with K. Djuricic), Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2018 [CNRS cat. 2 / FNEGE rang 2 / HCERES] - Bootz, J.P. "La prospective, une source d’apprentissage organisationnel ? : revue de la littérature et analyse critique", (with E.Schenk), Management & Avenir, Vol. 3, n° 53, April 2012, pp.34-53 [CNRS cat. 4 / FNEGE rang 3 / HCERES]


List of assessment methods

Intermediate assessment / continuous assessment 1Other (date, pop quiz, etc.) : Date limite: 22/04/2024
Written / Individual / English / Weight : 30 %
Details : Learning diary (dissertation) - guidelines and instructions on Moodle
This evaluation is used to measure ILO1.1-PGE, ILO1.2-PGE, ILO1.3-PGE, ILO2.3-PGE
Intermediate assessment / continuous assessment 2Last class
Written (180 Min.) / Individual / English / Weight : 30 %
Details : MCQ analysis of two scenarios
Intermediate assessment / continuous assessment 3Other (date, pop quiz, etc.) : 15/04/2024
Written / Group / English / Weight : 40 %
Details : Scenario-building project that involves the delivery of documents and analyses at each step of the method. These materials are developed through collective work during and between sessions.
No assessment methods have been attributed to this course yet.